The November midterm elections might be just nine months away, but numerous polls suggest that American voters want to see a change in Congress. A new survey shows that if elections for Congress were held today, 45% of likely American voters would vote for their Democratic candidate, 37% would vote for the Republican, and five percent would vote for another candidate.
November might not be a total bloodbath for Republicans; 12% of likely U.S. voters said they weren’t sure who they were going to vote for. The big question is, who do the undecided voters usually vote for?
As to be expected, voters tend to follow party lines: 78% of Democrats and Republicans would vote for the candidate from their own party. When it comes to unaffiliated voters though, Democrats come out on top, with a two-to-one lead over Republicans at 44% to 22%.
The fact that Americans are looking for a change in Congress isn’t a total surprise. While President Trump’s approval rating is mired near record lows of 39% and is only above 50% in 12 states, American voters are even more disillusioned with Congress.
Save for Trump’s massive tax bill, Congress failed to pass any major legislation in 2017. This might account for why just 13% of American voters approve of the job Congress is doing. That’s down marginally from 15% in July 2017 and down significantly over February’s 11-year high of 25%. To counter, 55% of Americans think Congress is doing a poor job.
Following historical trends, opinions follow party lines, with 23% of Republicans approving of the job the GOP-run Congress is doing. As expected, a small number of Democrats (eight percent) approve of Congress, with just seven percent of unaffiliated voters saying the same thing.
Of those who strongly approve of the job Trump is doing, 21% say Congress is doing a good job. This compares with just three percent of American voters who strongly disapprove of Trump’s performance.
The national mood is changing and unless Trump can change the way Americans view the inner workings of Capitol Hill, it’s quite possible that the Democrats will seize power of Congress in November. Trump will have to learn to work with Democrats, which hasn’t gone well up to this point in his presidency.
“Generic Congressional Ballot,” Rasmussen Reports, January 29, 2018.
“Approval of Congress Falls Even Lower,” Rasmussen Reports, November 30, 2017.