Experts Weigh in on When Robots Will Occupy Human Jobs

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Robots to surpass humans at virtually every task within 45 years, a survey conducted by the Future of Humanity Institute at the University of Oxford claims.

1,634 members of the International Conference on Machine Learning in July 2015 and the Neural Information Processing Systems conference in December 2015 were surveyed. 352 of these experts answered and delivered grim news for the human race.

The experts went on to predict a 50% chance that robots would be superior to humans at just about everything within 45 years or so.
The first jobs that experts expect to disappear due to the automation revolution are retail-focused, which would be a severe blow to the American worker.

The experts went on to predict a 50% chance that robots would be superior to humans at just about everything within 45 years or so.

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The first jobs that experts expect to disappear due to the automation revolution are retail-focused, which would be a severe blow to the American worker.

The scientists are not always precise in their predictions, however. They once predicted that humans would maintain the edge in the board game “Go” for years, our dominance taking computers until 2027 to overcome. But computers were able to beat human players in 2016.

While the scientists don’t expect many of the robots to be coming for your job tomorrow, they do see a gradual and total takeover happening in 125 years.

The longest-surviving job is that of surgeons, with the occupation surviving for close to four decades until robots do eventually outperform humans, according to the survey.

But for the average American worker, automation will be the hardest felt. Truck drivers and retail workers are the first ones to be targeted by automation–two industries that employ millions.

Not to mention the economic fallout that smaller communities face when revenue generators and employment centers like malls and retail stores are shut down and the workers laid off.

While the article goes on to stress that the scientists have been wrong in the past, the majority of scientists believe that tough times are ahead for the middle-class and lower-class workers most at risk of being overtaken by the march of automation.

Source:

Experts Predict When Artificial Intelligence Will Exceed Human Performance,” MIT Technology Review, May 31, 2017.

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